Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets, NBA 2024-25 Season, Today Match Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Basteball Odds

Teams Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder evened the series with a gritty 92-87 road victory against the Denver Nuggets in Game 4 on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander once again paced the Thunder offense with 25 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists. Jalen Williams was the only other starting player to reach double figures, contributing 10 points, 3 rebounds, and 5 assists.

Oklahoma City's bench provided crucial scoring in the win, with Alex Caruso tallying 10 points, Cason Wallace adding 11 points, and Aaron Wiggins chipping in with 11 points and 6 rebounds, all playing key roles in their fourth-quarter comeback. Defensively, their two big men, Isaiah Hartenstein (14 rebounds) and Chet Holmgren (13 rebounds), were effective on the glass and provided better rim protection in this outing.

However, the Thunder still need to improve their three-point shooting, and their free-throw percentage has also declined. They also committed more fouls than Denver, sending the Nuggets to the free-throw line 26 times while only getting 20 free-throw attempts themselves. On the positive side, they have been efficient with their mid-range game and attacking the paint.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 25 or more points in three of the four games in this series and has dished out 7 or more assists in three of those contests. He stands out as a solid betting option for assists, and we predict his total assists in Game 5 to be over 7.5 at +105.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Props Predictions

Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets will be disappointed not to have closed out Game 4 and extended their series lead to 3-1 after being outscored 29-18 in the fourth quarter. Scoring has been a struggle for the Nuggets this series. Despite Nikola Jokic's double-double of 27 points and 13 rebounds, and Aaron Gordon's defensive effort of 16 rebounds to go with his 15-point double-double, the Nuggets couldn't hold on for the win.

After two strong performances to begin the series, Russell Westbrook has scored in single digits in the last two games. Meanwhile, Jamal Murray hasn't quite found his rhythm in crunch time, and Michael Porter Jr. has been inconsistent. The Nuggets' lack of bench production is also a significant concern.

It's crucial now for the Nuggets' key players to step up and convert shots in the paint, as well as knock down open three-pointers. Jokic has consistently drawn defenders, creating opportunities for their three-point shooters, but those shots haven't been falling consistently.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 14.75 rebounds per game, making a bet on his total rebounds an appealing option for the game, as he has a high probability of securing boards on both the offensive and defensive ends. We project Nikola Jokic's total rebounds to be over 13.5 at -132. Additionally, a favorable player prop bet on Aaron Gordon would be for his combined total of points and rebounds to be over 23.5 at -115.

Denver Nuggets Player Props Predictions

Denver Nuggets Spread Predictions

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Match Prediction & Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder will host the Denver Nuggets in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday night (Wednesday morning in India) at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, with the series currently tied at 2-2. The Thunder hold a 1-1 record at home in this series.

This series has already featured two thrilling contests where the Nuggets prevailed in clutch situations. However, in the previous game, the Thunder displayed resilience and mounted a comeback to secure the victory. The last time the Thunder played at home against the Nuggets, it resulted in a dominant 149-106 win, highlighted by an 87-point first half, the most points scored by any team in a single half in NBA playoff history.

The Thunder are averaging 116 points per game in this series, while the Nuggets are averaging 106.8 points per game. Although the Nuggets have shot efficiently from beyond the arc, the Thunder have been more effective at attacking the basket, scoring two-point shots, and drawing fouls. Defensively, the Thunder have recorded more blocked shots and steals than the Nuggets.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Over/Under Predictions

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Player Stats