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New Zealand vs Sri Lanka, NZ vs SL 2025, Today Match Prediction

The current prediction is outdated. Please visit TODAY’S MATCH PREDICTIONS page for latest updated tips.
Eden Park, Auckland, New Zealand

150/10 in 29.4

5.06

290/8 in 50.0

5.8 Star
SCORECARD

NZ vs SL Win Probability

NZ 71%
SL 29%

Toss Winner - Sri Lanka won the toss and choose to bat first

Sri Lanka beat New Zealand by 140 runs

New Zealand looking to make it 3-0 against Sri Lanka

  • New Zealand have already won the 3-match ODI series 2-0.
  • In the last 8 head-to-head games, New Zealand have won 5, while Sri Lanka won two (1 no-result).
  • In the last 5 years, New Zealand lost only 1 ODI at home in 16 games - (2 no-result).

We predict that New Zealand will defeat Sri Lanka.

Tournament:  Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2025
Format: odi
Venue: Eden Park, Auckland, New Zealand
Toss Prediction: To Bowl
Weather: 22.4°C|Sunny
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New Zealand will take on Sri Lanka in the 3rd ODI of the 3-match ODI leg of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand at Eden Park, Auckland on 11th January 2025 at 6:30 am IST. Sri Lanka are on a tour to New Zealand to play three T20Is and three ODIs. New Zealand won the T20I series 2-1, and now they have a series-winning lead of 2-0 against Sri Lanka with one match to go.

Sri Lanka lost both the ODIs against New Zealand by comprehensive margins. It is tough to beat New Zealand in New Zealand. They have lost just one game at home in the last five years. Can Sri Lanka win the third and the last ODI of the series and end the series on a high?

RECENT PERFORMANCE

New Zealand NZ
W W L L L
NZ

255/9 in 37.0 6.89

NZ vs SL 2025

New Zealand beat Sri Lanka by 113 runs
SL

142/10 in 30.2 4.68

NZ

180/1 in 26.2 6.84

NZ vs SL 2025

New Zealand beat Sri Lanka by 9 wickets
SL

178/10 in 43.4 4.08

SL

210/7 in 46.0 4.57

NZ

209/10 in 45.1 4.63

SL

324/5 in 49.2 6.57

NZ

175/9 in 27.0 6.48

NZ

98/10 in 31.4 3.09

NZ vs BAN 2023

Bangladesh beat New Zealand by 9 wickets
BAN

99/1 in 15.1 6.53

Sri Lanka SL
L L W W L
NZ

255/9 in 37.0 6.89

NZ vs SL 2025

New Zealand beat Sri Lanka by 113 runs
SL

142/10 in 30.2 4.68

NZ

180/1 in 26.2 6.84

NZ vs SL 2025

New Zealand beat Sri Lanka by 9 wickets
SL

178/10 in 43.4 4.08

SL

210/7 in 46.0 4.57

NZ

209/10 in 45.1 4.63

SL

324/5 in 49.2 6.57

NZ

175/9 in 27.0 6.48

SL

156/3 in 23.0 6.78

WI

196/2 in 22.0 8.91

HEAD TO HEAD

Last 5 Matches

2
NZ Won
2
SL Won
1
No Result
NZ
NZ vs SL 2025
SL
255/9 in 37.0
142/10 in 30.2
Show More Show Less
NZ

180/1 in 26.2

NZ vs SL 2025

New Zealand beat Sri Lanka by 9 wickets
SL

178/10 in 43.4

SL

0/0 in 0.0

SL vs NZ 2024

Match abandoned
NZ

112/1 in 21.0

SL

210/7 in 46.0

NZ

209/10 in 45.1

SL

324/5 in 49.2

NZ

175/9 in 27.0

New Zealand Preview

New Zealand are proving to be a great ODI team especially in home conditions. They have played 16 ODIs in last five years at home and have lost only one. They have a particularly good record against Sri Lanka in the last two years where the stats are in favor of New Zealand 5-2 with one no-result.

After winning the T20I series 2-1, New Zealand have won both the ODIs in the 3-match ODI series to get an unassailable lead of 2-0 against Sri Lanka. In the first ODI, New Zealand ed a huge win by 9 wickets against Sri Lanka. Winning the toss and bowling first, they restricted Sri Lanka to 178 runs in the 44th over. Matt Henry took 4 wickets for just 19 runs. Nathan Smith and Jacob Duffy shined with 2 wickets each. New Zealand completed the chase for the loss of just one wicket. Rachin Ravindra scored 4-5 while Will Young top-scored with 90 runs.

In the second ODI, New Zealand batted first to 255 runs in 37 overs. The match was reduced to 37 overs aside. Rachin Ravindra and Mark Chapman top scored with 79 and 62 runs respectively. The defence proved to be an easy one as Will O'Rourke and Jacob Duffy shared 5 wickets among them for just 61 runs. Sri Lanka were bundled out for 142 in the 31st over as New Zealand won by a huge margin of 113 runs. With the series already in pocket, New Zealand must be looking for a 3-0 whitewash against Sri Lanka in the last game of the Sri Lanka Tour of New Zealand.

Key players: Will Young, Rachin Ravindra,  Jacob Duffy, William ORourke

New Zealand Predicted Playing XI:

Will Young, Rachin Ravindra, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham (wk), Glenn Phillips, Mitchell Santner (c), Nathan Smith, Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy, William ORourke

New Zealand Key Players From Previous Game Of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2025

Batsmen
R
B
4s
6s
SRs
Rachin Ravindra
79
63
9
0
125.4
Mark Chapman
62
52
5
0
119.23
Daryl Mitchell
38
38
3
0
100
Bowlers
O
M
R
W
Econ
William O'Rourke
6.2
0
31
3
4.89
Jacob Duffy
5.0
1
30
2
6
Mitchell Santner
5.0
0
14
1
2.8

New Zealand Actual Playing XI:

Mark Chapman, Glenn Phillips, Will Young, Michael Bracewell, Daryl Mitchell, Rachin Ravindra, Mitchell Santner, Nathan Smith, Tom Latham, Matt Henry, William O'Rourke

Sri Lanka Preview

Sri Lanka have had a disastrous tour of New Zealand so far. They were here to play three T20 internationals and three ODIs. Having lost the three-match T20I series 1-2 to New Zealand, they have lost the ODI series as well with a match to go after losing the second ODI as well at Hamilton.

In the first ODI, they managed just 178 all-out against New Zealand's balling attack. Avishka Fernando and Janith Liyange scored valuable runs as the rest of the batting lineup crumbled under the pressure. It was an easy win for New Zealand by 9 wickets. 

In the second ODI, Sri Lanka elected to field first in a range-shortened game - 37 overs aside. By the time New Zealand's second wicket fell at 143, they had scored at 7 runs and over against Sri Lankan attack. Mahesh Theekshana did pull things back with some lower order wickets. He ended up getting 4 wickets for 44 runs in 8 overs. Wanindu Hasaranga took 2 wickets for 39 runs in 8 overs. 

Sri Lankan chase began with losing some quick wickets in the first five overs. They were 4 for 22 in the fifth over. Kamindu Mendis scored valuable 64 runs to arrest the slide but Sri Lanka eventually lost by 113 runs as no other batter could go on to make a big score. Sri Lanka would definitely like to end the tour on high by defeating New Zealand in the third ODI, but the history and the current form suggest it is near impossible for this Sri Lankan team to beat New Zealand in an ODI.

Key players: Avishka Fernando, Kusal Mendis, Chamindu Wickramasinghe, Wanindu Hasaranga

Sri Lanka Predicted Playing XI:

Pathum Nissanka, Avishka Fernando, Kusal Mendis (wk), Kamindu Mendis, Charith Asalanka (c), Janith Liyanage, Chamindu Wickramasinghe, Wanindu Hasaranga, Maheesh Theekshana, Eshan Malinga, Asitha Fernando

Sri Lanka Key Players From Previous Game Of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2025

Batsmen
R
B
4s
6s
SRs
Kamindu Mendis
64
66
5
0
96.97
Janith Liyanage
22
31
2
0
70.97
Chamindu Wickramasinghe
17
27
2
0
62.96
Bowlers
O
M
R
W
Econ
Maheesh Theekshana
8.0
0
44
4
5.5
Wanidu Hasaranga
8.0
0
39
2
4.88
Asitha Fernando
7.0
0
54
1
7.71

Sri Lanka Actual Playing XI:

Pathum Nissanka, Avishka Fernando, Charith Asalanka, Kamindu Mendis, Janith Liyanage, Chamindu Wickramasinghe, Wanidu Hasaranga, Kusal Mendis, Maheesh Theekshana, Asitha Fernando, Eshan Malinga

HR
Temp
Rain
W. speed
W. direction
Clouds
00h
22
0 mm.
6.05 k/h
From: SW
33%
03h
23
0 mm.
6.27 k/h
From: SW
16%
06h
21
0 mm.
5.38 k/h
From: SW
10%
09h
18
0 mm.
3.96 k/h
From: SW
75%
12h
17
0 mm.
2.9 k/h
From: WSW
100%
15h
15
0 mm.
1.73 k/h
From: SSW
20%
18h
14
0 mm.
2.5 k/h
From: S
15%
21h
16
0 mm.
2.72 k/h
From: SSE
10%

Weather Conditions

The weather on the match day at Eden Park, Auckland is expected to be pleasant and sunny. The temperature would range between 22 °C and 17 °C. There may be some rain in the day, but that should not abandon the game.

NZ vs SL Pitch Report

It is one of the most iconic cricket venues in New Zealand. Established in 1900, this venue hosted a Test Match in 1930. Since then, it has hosted many Tests, ODIs, and T20 International. Hidden Park is popular for its unique dimensions where it has very short straight boundaries. It has hosted 2015 ODI World Cup matches as well. The venue has a seating capacity of 50,000 spectators, making it one of the biggest stadiums in New Zealand.

Toss: To Bowl

In the 74 ODIs at this venue that ended in outright result, about 60% have been won by the team's bowling first, whereas the rest have been won by the team's batting first. This is typically a New Zealand venue where there is early assistance for the bowlers. The team winning the toss should bowl first here.

New Zealand already have a series winning lead 2-0 against Sri Lanka at home. They hardly lose ODIs at home. In the last five years, they have lost only one. Their head-to-head record against Sri Lanka is commendable. With the history and the current form, we believe New Zealand have an advantage over Sri Lanka in this third ODI and they will win it to whitewash the opponents at home.

We predict that New Zealand will defeat Sri Lanka.

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