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Tottenham Hotspur to Win (2-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
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Europa League finalists Tottenham Hotspur, despite a poor domestic season sitting in 16th, host FA Cup finalists Crystal Palace in a London derby. While Spurs are buoyed by their European success, Palace aims to regain momentum before their Wembley final against Manchester City.
Both teams have little to play for in the league, with Tottenham's focus likely shifting towards their Europa League final against Manchester United on May 21st. This match serves as preparation for their respective cup finals.
Across 33 head-to-head matches, Tottenham have won more often. They had won five in a row before this season. Earlier this year, Crystal Palace narrowly won at home (1-0), creating slightly more chances despite less possession. However, Crystal Palace find it hard to score away against Tottenham, never netting more than once in 17 matches at their ground. Betting on Crystal Palace scoring one goal or fewer could be an option.
Tottenham's Premier League form is dismal, with only one win in their last nine matches, including six defeats. Their European success, reaching the Europa League final after a 5-1 aggregate win over Bodo/Glimt, provides a stark contrast. Despite a positive goal difference (+6), their defensive struggles have seen them concede 57 goals.
With their Europa League final against Manchester United looming, Tottenham's remaining league games are likely secondary, their main aim being to avoid finishing lower than 16th. Their recent league form includes a draw with West Ham and losses to Fulham and Chelsea, highlighting their poor record in London derbies this season.
While Dominic Solanke is expected to play despite a thigh issue, Tottenham will miss Bergvall, Maddison, and Dragusin for the season. Postecoglou might rotate the squad after their Europa League semi-final win, with Brennan Johnson likely rested after a knock. Son Heung-min's return from a foot injury is uncertain. Despite Solanke's recent scoring form, including against Bodo/Glimt, deputies like Mathys Tel and Mikey Moore could feature.
Tottenham Hotspur Probable Starting Lineup - Vicario (GK); Gray, Danso, Davies, Spence; Kulusevski, Bentancur, Sarr; Odobert, Tel, Moore
Despite a poor start to 2025, Crystal Palace have shown significant improvement, boasting a strong record in both the Premier League and FA Cup. Their recent form includes a four-game unbeaten run, although they haven't won their last five league matches.
While Tottenham's European success contrasts with their league struggles, Palace still has a slim chance of securing a Conference League spot by finishing in the top eight. However, their primary focus is likely the FA Cup final against Manchester City. This match against Spurs offers a final opportunity to regain winning momentum, which has dwindled after a strong period earlier in the year.
A draw against Nottingham Forest extended their winless league streak, but they are close to equaling their best-ever Premier League points tally. History isn't on their side away at Tottenham, where they've lost their last nine league games, though they did secure a home win earlier in the season.
Crystal Palace probable starting lineup: Henderson (GK); Richards, Lacroix, Guehi; Munoz, Hughes, Kamada, Mitchell; Eze, Sarr; Mateta
With both Tottenham and Crystal Palace prioritizing cup finals, a low-intensity London derby is anticipated as avoiding injuries will be key. While a dull affair seems likely with both possibly settling for a point, their attacking threats suggest goals aren't entirely out of the question. Expect a potentially open game despite the circumstances.
Tottenham Hotspur to Win (2-1)
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