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CLAIM NOWNew Zealand vs Pakistan, POT, Today Match Prediction
NZ vs PAK Win Probability
Toss Winner - Pakistan won the toss and choose to bat first
New Zealand beat Pakistan by 5 wickets
In New Zealand’s last match against Pakistan in this tri-series, Glenn Phillips smashed an incredible unbeaten 106 off 74 balls.
- The highest run-chase achieved at Karachi is India’s 310-4 (46.5 overs) versus Sri Lanka in 2008.
- Three of the last five games played at the National Stadium in Karachi have been won by the side batting first.
- The average runs per over at the National Stadium in Karachi is 5.32 while the average runs per wicket at the venue is 35.30.
We are backing New Zealand as the winners of the Pakistan Tri-Nation Series final.
| Tournament: | Pakistan ODI Tri-Series, 2025 |
| Format: | odi |
| Venue: | National Bank of Pakistan Sports Complex, Karachi, Pakistan, Pakistan |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 30.2°C|Sunny |
NZ vs PAK Match Prediction & Analysis
New Zealand and Pakistan will face off in the Pakistan Tri-Nation Series final this Friday night in Karachi. The Kiwis have been the most dominant side in the tournament, coming into this match with back-to-back victories and plenty of confidence. Pakistan, on the other hand, may not have been flawless, but their familiarity with local conditions could work in their favor. With home behind them, they won’t be easy to beat. That said, New Zealand look like the team to beat, making this final a thrilling battle between momentum and home advantage.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
NZ
W W L W W
NZ
PAK
W L W W W
PAK
271/10 in 42.0 6.45
SA vs PAK 2024
Pakistan beat South Africa by 36 runs (D/L) method308/9 in 47.0 6.55
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 1 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
New Zealand Preview
New Zealand have been the standout team in the Pakistan Tri-Nation Series, securing a spot in the final after easing past both Pakistan and South Africa. They started strong with a commanding 78-run victory over the hosts before dismantling the Proteas by six wickets.
With the title now within reach, New Zealand will aim to wrap up the series on a high. Kane Williamson has been the backbone of the batting lineup, racking up 191 runs in just two innings, including a century and a half-century. Daryl Mitchell has chipped in with 91 runs at an aggressive strike rate of 96.80, providing stability in the middle order.
Devon Conway, stepping in for the injured Rachin Ravindra, made an instant impact with a crucial 97-run knock against South Africa. Glenn Phillips, a powerhouse in the lower order, has the ability to take apart any bowling attack in the final overs. His match-winning century against Pakistan in the tournament opener was a prime example of his ability to turn games around.
On the bowling front, Matt Henry has led the attack with precision, taking five wickets while maintaining an economy rate of 5.64. Spinners Mitchell Santner and Michael Bracewell have provided key breakthroughs, combining for six wickets. William O’Rourke has also contributed, picking up timely dismissals to round out a well-balanced attack.
Key Players: Kane Williamson, Glenn Phillips, Mitchell Santner
NZ Over/Under Betting Tips
Williamson's return to ODI cricket after two years has been nothing short of spectacular, as the right-hander scored 58 runs against Pakistan in the first game and followed it up with a match-winning unbeaten century (133 runs off 113 balls) against South Africa.
New Zealand Predicted Playing XI:
Will Young, Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham (wk), Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (c), Matt Henry, Ben Sears, William O’Rourke
New Zealand Key Players From Previous Game Of Pakistan ODI Tri-Series, 2025
New Zealand Actual Playing XI:
Nathan Smith, Jacob Duffy, Will Young, Kane Williamson, Devon Conway, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham, Glenn Phillips, Mitchell Santner, Michael Bracewell, William O'Rourke
Pakistan Preview
Pakistan didn’t get off to the best start in this tri-series, falling to New Zealand in their opening match. However, they responded well with a strong performance against South Africa, chasing down a huge total of 355 with one over to spare. That impressive win secured their place in the final. With home conditions on their side, they will look to carry that momentum into the title decider.
Fakhar Zaman has been a key player at the top of the order, amassing 125 runs across two innings with a strike rate of 129. Salman Agha has also played a steady role, adding 174 runs from two innings, including a sublime 134 in the previous match against South Africa. Mohammad Rizwan too was among the runs in the last match, scoring a terrific unbeaten 122 to take his team home. His presence will give the batting order much-needed stability.
The middle order remains an area of strength, with Tayyab Tahir and Khushdil Shah adding an aggressive touch when required.
Pakistan’s bowling attack has been at its best in the tournament but there are a few bright spots. Shaheen Afridi has taken 5 wickets in two games while keeping his economy at 7.70. Abrar Ahmed and Naseem Shah have been decent in patches and are reliable options. Haris Rauf might replace Mohammad Hasnain in the final to bolster the bowling unit.
Key Players: Fakhar Zaman, Shaheen Afridi, Salman Agha
PAK Over/Under Betting Tips
Salman has scores of 134 and 40 in the two matches played and he is the leading run-scorer for Pakistan in the series with 174 runs. The right hander has been consistent with his run-scoring and plays smart cricket, doesn't take much risks. He is the best batter to bat on against the Kiwi's and we predict his score to be over 25 runs in the final.
The skipper of Pakistan remained unbeaten on 122 runs in the last game against South Africa, helping his team pull of a record chase. Rizwan is in good touch and on a surface that favours the batters, he will look to play another match winning knock and we back him to come good in today's final and score over 31 runs.
Pakistan Predicted Playing XI:
Fakhar Zaman, Babar Azam, Saud Shakeel, Mohammad Rizwan (c & wk), Salman Agha, Tayyab Tahir, Khushdil Shah, Shaheen Afridi, Mohammad Hasnain/ Haris Rauf, Naseem Shah, Abrar Ahmed
Pakistan Key Players From Previous Game Of Pakistan ODI Tri-Series, 2025
Pakistan Actual Playing XI:
Faheem Ashraf, Fakhar Zaman, Babar Azam, Saud Shakeel, Mohammad Rizwan, Agha Salman, Tayyab Tahir, Khushdil Shah, Shaheen Afridi, Naseem Shah, Abrar Ahmad
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The National Stadium in Karachi presents a balanced pitch with a slight inclination towards pace bowlers. The surface offers initial movement for seamers, especially in the first hour. As the game progresses, spinners will find increasing assistance with some turn and bounce. Batsmen can expect a fair batting track with good bounce, but they'll need to apply themselves carefully. The pitch generally s a competitive and exciting cricket match.
The weather in Karachi will be very warm but clear.
NZ vs PAK Pitch Report
The average score batting first at the National Stadium in Karachi is 244. The highest total posted here is India’s 374-4 versus Hong Kong in the 2008 Asia Cup. We reckon a score of around 280-300 will be challenging in the final.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
The last match played at National Stadium, Karachi was a high scoring where a total of 353 was chased down by Pakistan and the total match score was 707. Expect a similar kind of surface for today's match, where it favours the batters and we predict another high scoring game.
Toss: To Bat
Since this is the final, both teams are likely to prefer to bat first as that’s the safer bet in such a high-pressure game on a good wicket.
NZ vs PAK
Winning Prediction
The Pakistan Tri-Nation Series final is shaping up to be a thrilling contest between New Zealand and Pakistan. New Zealand have been the most consistent side, winning two consecutive matches, including a dominant performance against Pakistan in their first meeting. However, Pakistan have bounced back well and know these conditions inside out, making them a dangerous opponent. While both teams have their strengths, New Zealand’s overall balance gives them a slight upper hand. At this point, the odds lean slightly in their favor at around 60-40.
We are backing New Zealand as the winners of the Pakistan Tri-Nation Series final.
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