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CLAIM NOWToss Winner - Pakistan won the toss and choose to bowl first
New Zealand beat Pakistan by 43 runs
Pakistan's tour of New Zealand comes to an end with the ODI series already out of reach!
We are backing New Zealand to win!
Tournament: | Pakistan tour of New Zealand, 2025 |
Format: | odi |
Venue: | Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, New Zealand |
Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
Weather: | 19.0°C|Patchy rain nearby |
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This has been a one-sided tour and a one-sided series and it could well be that the thoughts within the Pakistan squad are something along the lines of "when can we get back home?"
One can only imagine what the scoreline in this series could have been if the Indian Premier League was not underway and other key players for New Zealand were available. Even when playing nowhere near their potential at times, the Black Caps have been able to sweep Pakistan aside many times across the last few weeks.
It was an 84 run victory for the Black Caps in Hamilton last time out but it could have been even more embarrassing for Pakistan if Naseem Shah, who came into the game as a concussion sub, hit 51, the second highest ODI score from a number 11 in history!
Haris Rauf was the player who Naseem came in for after he was hit by a bouncer and his involvement in this final ODI must be seen as doubtful.
The last game in Hamilton was a special one for keeper-batter Mitchell Hay with the 24 year old hitting his highest score in ODI cricket but finishing unbeaten and one run short of a century!
It was a crucial knock as New Zealand had looked in a spot of bother on 132/5 but once again they proved that they have more than capable batters throughout their order and were able to post a total which Pakistan never looked getting remotely near.
The Black Caps still have the likes of Henry Nicholls and Daryl Mitchell in the upper middle order and we expect one of them to go big in this match.
With the ball, Pakistan's batters had no answer to the bounce from Will O'Rourke, Jacob Duffy and Ben Sears and it would be a big surprise if either of them were unable to dominate the top order once again in Mount Maunganui.
Rhys Mariu, Nick Kelly, Henry Nicholls, Daryl Mitchell, Michael Bracewell (c), Muhammad Abbas, Mitchell Hay (wk), Nathan Smith, Ben Sears, Jacob Duffy, Will O'Rourke
Muhammad Arslan Abbas, Michael Bracewell, Nick Kelly, Daryl Mitchell, Jacob Duffy, William O'Rourke, Ben Sears, Mitchell Hay, Henry Nicholls, Rhys Mariu, Tim Seifert
Although Pakistan's bowling attack produced some encouraging moments and figures in the second ODI, their top order completely let the side down and the experienced names in the batting line-up must stand up and be counted or else the tourists will be returning home with a 3-0 ODI series defeat.
All of Abdullah Shafique, Imam-ul-Haq, Babar Azam, Mohammad Rizwan and Salman Agha failed to get out of single figures with Agha's strike-rate of 60.00 the only one above 33.33! It will take a huge improvement to get this team firing again in this match and it will have to come from one of these five experienced players.
With the ball, Haris Rauf is likely to miss out due to concussion with Faheem Ashraf and Akif Javed expected to take on the attack leader mantle with the new ball.
Abdullah Shafique, Imam-ul-Haq, Babar Azam, Mohammad Rizwan (c) (wk), Salman Agha, Tayyab Tahir, Faheem Ashraf, Mohammad Wasim, Akif Javed, Naseem Shah, Sufiyan Muqeem
Mohammad Rizwan, Abdullah Shafique, Babar Azam, Imam-ul-Haq, Tayyab Tahir, Faheem Ashraf, Akif Javed, Mohammad Wasim Jr, Naseem Shah, Agha Salman, Sufiyan Muqeem
There is a large amount of rain forecast in Mount Maunganui during Friday but the outlook for Saturday is for sunny spells throughout and the temperature in the mid-twenties.
Like many of the other ground used in this series and tour, there will be assistance for the quick bowlers. When batting, players will need to get in and acclimatise to the conditions but must keep the scoreboard ticking along or else they will get stuck! A par score will be around 320-330 in the first innings.
Each of the last three ODIs at the Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui have been won by the team chasing so we predict that both teams will look to bowl first in this contest.
This has been a very miserable tour of New Zealand for Pakistan and we expect it to end with another negative result for the tourists. We do expect one of their experienced batters to produce a decent innings but New Zealand have the depth to still win this game easily.
We are backing New Zealand to win!
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