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CLAIM NOWPakistan vs New Zealand, ICCCT, Today Match Prediction
PAK vs NZ Win Probability
Toss Winner - Pakistan won the toss and choose to bowl first
New Zealand beat Pakistan by 60 runs
We have waited for eight years but finally the ICC Champions Trophy returns on Wednesday as Pakistan host New Zealand in match one!
- Pakistan have lost two of their last three ODIs.
- New Zealand come into this game looking to make it four successive ODI victories.
- Three of the last four head to heads in this format have been won by New Zealand, including two earlier this month!
We are backing New Zealand to win!
| Tournament: | ICC Champions Trophy, 2025 |
| Format: | odi |
| Venue: | National Stadium Karachi, Karachi East, Pakistan |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 31.0°C|Sunny |
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PAK vs NZ Live Prediction
PAK vs NZ Match Prediction & Analysis
It will be the National Stadium in Karachi which will welcome the return of the ICC Champions Trophy, a tournament which we have not seen since 2017, as well as Pakistan hosting a major cricket competition for the first time since the 1996 World Cup!
New Zealand were the dominant side earlier this month in the Pakistan Tri-Nation Series, defeating the hosts twice on their way to lifting the trophy on Sunday and they will be considered as a team to watch in this edition of the Champions Trophy.
Pakistan are a team who are capable of scaling the world's highest mountain one day but then could be beaten by Canada the very next day, and it will be interesting to see which version turns up for this opener on Wednesday!
But with top international stars on show for both sides, we could be in for a cracking contest.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
PAK
L W L W W
PAK
271/10 in 42.0 6.45
SA vs PAK 2024
Pakistan beat South Africa by 36 runs (D/L) method308/9 in 47.0 6.55
NZ
W W W L W
NZ
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 2 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Pakistan Preview
Pakistan may not be playing their best cricket at the moment but they are still a side who are packed with match-winners and top international players.
Right-handed opener Babar Azam may not be in the best form of his career but he recently went past 6000 ODI runs and a player of his class will find form again at some point. Fortunately his opening partner, Fakhar Zaman, is hitting the ball cleanly and will be confident coming into this game.
Pakistan's most consistent batters in this format are skipper Mohammed Rizwan and Salman Agha who will bat at four and five. Between the pair, they have scored almost 60% of their team's runs in their last two ODIs.
With the ball, Shaheen Shah Afridi has an excellent record against New Zealand as well as one of the best ODI records in the world. Alongside Haris Rauf, they could well cause significant problems to the opposition batting line-up.
PAK Over/Under Betting Tips
The skipper of Pakistan has been in prolific run-scoring form, where he has scored 171 runs in 3 matches in 2025 and in the last 10 ODI's he has scored over 28 runs in 6 matches.
Rizwan has had a smooth run as a batter, since he has taken over Captaincy. Over the last 10 matches he has averaged 3.1 fours per game. At Karachi in 8 matches he has scored 415 runs and averages 3.6 fours per game.
Salman has grown strength to strength with his consistent run-scoring ability in the middle order. He has scored 219 runs in the last three ODI's (40, 134 & 45). At Karachi in 8 ODI's he has scored 408 runs and averages 58.3.
Pakistan Predicted Playing XI:
Fakhar Zaman, Babar Azam, Saud Shakeel, Mohammad Rizwan (c) (wk), Salman Aghan, Tayyab Tahir, Khushdil Shah, Haris Rauf, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Naseem Shah, Abar Ahmed
Pakistan Actual Playing XI:
Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, Tayyab Tahir, Khushdil Shah, Saud Shakeel, Agha Salman, Mohammad Rizwan, Abrar Ahmad, Haris Rauf, Naseem Shah, Shaheen Afridi
New Zealand Preview
New Zealand were without Lockie Ferguson, Ben Sears, Matt Henry and Rachin Ravindra for the final of the Pakistan Tri-Nation Series but still had more than enough in the locker to win the final against Pakistan on Sunday.
Ahead of this opener, the mood-music is that only Matt Henry will return to the XI with Rachin Ravindra not far away but not worth risking at this stage.
In the batting department, Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell and Glenn Phillips have all made big scores on this trip and every New Zealand side always has batting depth.
With the ball, the returning Henry will lead the attack with Michael Bracewell alongside Mitchell Santner providing vital control with accurate spin bowling.
NZ Over/Under Betting Tips
Daryl Mitchell has been in good run-scoring form and when it comes to ICC events, he has always steps up and delivers in crunch games. With every match being a must win in the Champions Trophy and given his current form where he has scored 188 runs in 5 matches in 2025 and averages close to 3 4's per game.
Daryl Mitchell has scored 184 runs in 6 ODIs at Karachi, averaging 30.7. In 2025, he has scored 188 runs in 5 ODIs, averaging 37.6 and scoring over 30 runs in three of those matches.
Kane Williamson has been in superb touch since his comeback, where he scored 225 runs in 3 matches in the recently concluded tri-series. In this series he scored one 50 & one 100. Given his current form, we back Williamson to play a match winning knock and score 50 or more runs.
New Zealand Predicted Playing XI:
Will Young, Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham (wk), Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (c), Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy, Will O'Rourke
New Zealand Actual Playing XI:
Will Young, Nathan Smith, Matt Henry, Tom Latham, William O'Rourke, Daryl Mitchell, Michael Bracewell, Kane Williamson, Devon Conway, Glenn Phillips, Mitchell Santner
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The game will get underway at 14:00 local time, the hottest time of the day with the sun blaring out and the temperature at 29 degrees. Even after sundown, it will still be over 24 degrees in Karachi throughout the evening.
PAK vs NZ Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
Minimal Turn
Sunday's final of the Pakistan Tri-Nation Series showed that there is something for both the batters and bowlers. No batter made a score of over 57 and it was Pakistan's 242 which was easily overhauled by New Zealand with 28 balls and five wickets in hand. A par total looks to be around 300 on a pitch with consistent bounce.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
We are backing the home team Pakistan to win the coin toss in the 1st match of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025.
The pitch at Karachi favours the batters and it is a high scoring venue where the average total match score in the last two ODI's played at this venue is 596. Both teams are coming into this contest on the back of a high scoring tri-series.
Toss: To Bat
Of the last ten ODIs at the National Stadium in Karachi, five have been won by the team fielding first with five won by the side bowling first! With the hottest weather of the day likely to be in the first innings, we predict that both captains will want to bat first.
PAK vs NZ
Winning Prediction
As hosts, Pakistan will be looking for any advantage in this game but their best hope will probably be more injuries to the New Zealand side ahead of the game! The Black Caps are in excellent form and we expect them to get off to a winning start in the tournament.
We are backing New Zealand to win!
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