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CLAIM NOWToss Winner - Pakistan won the toss and choose to bat first
India won by 6 wickets
The momentum clearly favors India heading into this clash, with four wins from their last five ODI outings. Pakistan's recent form tells a different story, as they've stumbled in three of their previous five matches in this format.
We are picking India as the winners of this high-octane clash.
Tournament: | ICC Champions Trophy, 2025 |
Format: | odi |
Venue: | Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai, United Arab Emirates |
Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
Weather: | 29.1°C|Sunny |
The biggest rivalry in cricket takes center stage this Sunday at Dubai, as India and Pakistan lock horns in what promises to be an explosive Champions Trophy encounter. India come into this matchup riding high after outplaying Bangladesh in their opening game, while Pakistan are looking to regroup following a heavy defeat to New Zealand. Recent history in this format tilts heavily in India's favor, and with their current hot streak, they're tipped to come out on top in this high-voltage clash.
271/10 in 42.0 6.45
SA vs PAK 2024
Pakistan beat South Africa by 36 runs (D/L) method308/9 in 47.0 6.55
Pakistan’s Champions Trophy campaign started on the worst possible note, suffering a heavy defeat against New Zealand on home soil. The Kiwis, after being in trouble at 73-3, recovered brilliantly to post a commanding 320-5. In response, Pakistan struggled to keep up with the required rate and folded for 260.
The loss exposed Pakistan’s issues in all areas, and they will need a much-improved effort to challenge India. Adding to their concerns, they will now be without Fakhar Zaman, who has been ruled out due to injury. Imam-ul-Haq has been called in as his replacement for the remainder of the tournament.
A lack of intent in the chase was Pakistan’s biggest downfall. Salman Agha (42 off 28) and Khushdil Shah (69 off 49) were the only ones who tried to up the scoring rate, but the rest of the lineup failed to show urgency. With classy players like Babar Azam and Mohammad Rizwan, Pakistan certainly has the talent to put up a strong fight, but their approach needs to change.
In of bowling, Pakistan have a solid pace attack with Shaheen Afridi, Naseem Shah, and Haris Rauf leading the charge. However, their recent inconsistency is a concern, especially on a slower pitch like this. Abrar Ahmed’s spell could prove crucial as he has the ability to trouble India’s middle order with his spin.
Key Players: Mohammad Rizwan, Shaheen Afridi, Abrar Ahmed
Salman Agha is averaging 6.25 4's per game in the four matches played in 2025. He is in good knick and is the only stable batter in the Pakistani middle order. He has scored four 30+ scores in each of the last four games. We back him to continue his good run of form against India and hit over 2.5 fours.
It is not going to be an high scoring affair and boundaries are hard to come by at Dubai. The average 4's per innings in the last 3 ODI matches played at Dubai is 16.3. The last time India played against Pakistan at Dubai, the men in blue conceded 11 fours.
Salman has grown strength to strength with his consistent run-scoring ability in the middle order. He has scored 261 runs in the last four ODI's (42, 40, 134 & 45). He has been in good form heading into today's game and we back him to score over 23 runs against the lethal Indian bowling lineup.
Imam-ul-Haq, Babar Azam, Saud Shakeel, Mohammad Rizwan (c & wk), Salman Agha, Tayyab Tahir, Khushdil Shah, Shaheen Afridi, Naseem Shah, Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed
Babar Azam, Tayyab Tahir, Khushdil Shah, Saud Shakeel, Agha Salman, Mohammad Rizwan, Abrar Ahmad, Haris Rauf, Naseem Shah, Shaheen Afridi, Imam-ul-Haq
India began their Champions Trophy run with a solid six-wicket win over Bangladesh. After bowling out their opponents for 228 on a sluggish pitch, they chased the target down in 46.3 overs. While there were some tense moments, Shubman Gill’s unbeaten 101 ensured a smooth finish, with KL Rahul (41* off 47) and Rohit Sharma (41 off 36) contributing crucial runs.
Looking ahead, India will be hoping for more stability from their middle order, which has had a habit of losing wickets cheaply before the lower order bails them out. Virat Kohli’s form is another concern, but his track record in big matches and a career average of 52.15 against Pakistan make him a player to watch.
Shubman Gill’s recent performances make him India’s most in-form batter at the moment, having scored two centuries and four straight 50+ scores. KL Rahul, who looked fluent in the last game, is also expected to play an important role.
On the bowling side, India will be encouraged by Mohammed Shami’s return to form. The experienced pacer grabbed 5-53 in the previous match and is gaining momentum with every outing. Additionally, the spin combination of Ravindra Jadeja, Kuldeep Yadav, and Axar Patel will be crucial on this pitch, as they can make scoring difficult in the middle overs.
Key Players: Shubman Gill, Axar Patel, Shreyas Iyer
Gill scored a magnificent unbeaten 101* to kickstart his Champions Trophy campaign. He has looked unstoppable in recent games and has scored 2 fifties and 2 hundreds in four of the last five ODI matches. Having played the last match in Dubai, he will be well aware of the conditions and another big knock is expected of him in match 5.
Iyer failed to make an impact in the last match against Bangladesh where he scored 15 runs. But he is in good form and batting in the top four and the intensity and stakes of today's match, Iyer is likely to come out all guns blazing and we back him to score over 29 runs in today's match.
Rohit Sharma (c), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul (wk), Hardik Pandya, Axar Patel, Ravindra Jadeja, Harshit Rana, Mohammed Shami, Kuldeep Yadav
Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, Shreyas Iyer, Virat Kohli, Hardik Pandya, Mohammed Shami, Ravindra Jadeja, Lokesh Rahul, Axar Patel, Kuldeep Yadav, Harshit Rana
The Dubai pitch showed a sluggish character in the match between India and Bangladesh, with the surface looking dry and slightly cracked. Early moisture might help seamers in the first hour, but expect the pitch to slow down considerably as the game progresses. The ball's likely to grip and turn for spinners, particularly in the middle overs. Batting second could be tricky under lights, with dew playing a minimal role.
The weather in Dubai will be warm, pleasant, and clear with absolutely no chance of any rain interruption.
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
Average TurnThe average score batting first at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium is just 219, showing that this isn’t a high-scoring venue. We reckon a score of around 260-270 by the team batting first will be challenging to chase.
The average total 4's per game in the last two ODI matches played between India and Pakistan is 44.5. The last time these two teams played at Dubai the total 4's count was 35. The boundaries are evenly long on all sides at this venue and the outfield is not that fast. We predict the total 4's in today's match to be under 46.5.
We back the luck to be in favour of the visitors and predict India to win the coin toss in match 5 of ICC Champions Trophy 2025.
The pitch at Dubai International Stadium offers a balanced track where the the average 1st innings score is around 230-250 runs. It is a tough venue to score runs and we predict it to be a moderate scoring game and the total match score to be under 553.
Teams batting second at Dubai International Cricket Stadium have found success recently, winning five of the previous six ODIs at this venue. But the sticky wicket we witnessed in the last match might change tactics - both sides will likely prefer setting a target rather than chasing on this tricky surface.
India and Pakistan head into this clash with very different recent form. India have been on a strong run, winning their last four ODIs, while Pakistan have struggled, losing three of their previous four. The recent head-to-head record also leans heavily in India’s favor, as they have beaten Pakistan in their last five 50-over meetings. Adding to Pakistan’s concerns is the absence of Fakhar Zaman, who could have provided an explosive start at the top. That said, Pakistan have a history of defying expectations with unpredictable performances. However, if India handle the pace attack well and stick to their game plan, they should come out on top
We are picking India as the winners of this high-octane clash.
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