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CLAIM NOWToss Winner - Sri Lanka won the toss and choose to bat first
Sri Lanka beat India by 110 runs
Expect another slow pitch at the R Premadasa Stadium for the third and final ODI. A score of around 240 will be a match-winning one.
We are backing India to win this match and level the series 1-1.
Tournament: | India tour of Sri Lanka, Oneday, 2024 |
Format: | odi |
Venue: | R. Premadasa International Cricket Stadium, Colombo, Sri Lanka |
Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
Weather: | 27.4°C|Patchy rain nearby |
In an unexpected development, Sri Lanka defeated India, the world's top-ranked ODI side, in the second match of the series in Colombo, giving them a 1-0 lead in the series. With only one game remaining, India now faces the daunting task of leveling the series to avoid an embarrassing ODI series defeat against Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka's last ODI series win against India was back in 1997, so this is their chance to rewrite a new chapter in their history.
No one expected Sri Lanka to defeat India in this ODI series. Especially as the home side is without several frontline bowlers and India are almost at full strength. However, they have made perfect use of these slow conditions and made the Indian batsmen struggle. After tying the first game, Sri Lanka produced a terrific effort in the second ODI to win by 32 runs.
Batting first, Sri Lanka found themselves in a precarious position at 136-6 on another slow pitch at the R Premadasa Stadium. However, a crucial 72-run partnership between Wellalage and Mendis revived their innings and helped them post a challenging 240-9. Jeffrey Vandersay's exceptional bowling performance then dismantled India's strong start (97 without loss), restricting them to 208 runs.
Sri Lanka’s batters haven’t got a truckload of runs, but the likes of Pathum Nissanka, Avishka Fernando, and Kusal Mendis are providing valuable contributions at the top on this tough wicket.
Captain Charith Asalanka has led from the front with his bowling, taking 6 wickets already at an economy of 3.29.
Dunith Wellalage has been a revelation, dominating India both with the bat and ball. He has scores of 67* and 39 in this series and has also picked up 2 wickets at 5.33.
With Wanindu Hasaranga unavailable, the Lankans are expected to go with the same eleven. Their spinners are on a roll at the moment and are all set to pose another major challenge to India’s struggling batsmen.
After scoring 56 runs in the first ODI, Pathum Nissanka was dismissed on the first ball of the second, falling victim to a superb delivery from Mohammad Siraj. However, Nissanka has been in consistent form, accumulating runs regularly. With the series on the line and considering his recent performance, we predict Nissanka to score over 25.5 runs in today's match.
Pathum Nissanka, Avishka Fernando, Kusal Mendis (wk), Sadeera Samarawickrama, Charith Asalanka (c), Kamindu Mendis, Janith Liyanage, Dunith Wellalage, Akila Dananjaya, Asitha Fernando, Jeffrey Vandersay
Kamindu Mendis, Maheesh Theekshana, Jeffrey Vandersay, Pathum Nissanka, Avishka Fernando, Kusal Mendis, Sadeera Samarawickrama, Charith Asalanka, Janith Liyanage, Dunith Wellalage, Asitha Fernando
Team India have been caught napping in this ODI series. The slow, spinning tracks haven’t allowed their batters to hit through the line and they have shown an unusual lack of discipline to stay at the wicket when the going is tough.
Captain Rohit Sharma has led from the front, slamming two consecutive fifties at his usual brisk pace. He has been provided decent by Shubman Gill at the other end, but once the openers have fallen, the middle-order has simply crumbled under pressure.
In the previous two ODIs, India were 75-0 and 97-0 at one point but went to be all out for 230 and 208, respectively.
Experienced batters like Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, and KL Rahul have failed to tackle Sri Lanka’s spinners on this slow track and haven’t looked confident in their stroke-making. That said, these are quality players and we are backing a solid performance from Kohli or Rahul in the last match,
Only spin-bowling all-rounder Axar Patel has shown some fight, with scores of 33 and 44. The left-arm spinner has also claimed 3 wickets.
Rohit might bring in Riyan Parag in place of Shivam Dube or Arshdeep Singh for the final ODI. Parag is a gutsy middle-order batter and he showed in the T20I series that his spin bowling is more than handy on these surfaces.
Mohammed Siraj has been a disappointment too, being unable to stem the flow of runs in the death overs. India will need Kuldeep Yadav, Washington Sundar, and Axar to make the maximum impact if they hope to level the series.
Indian captain Rohit Sharma has been in fine form scoring half centuries in the 1st & 2nd ODI. He has piled up 122 runs and with the series on the line, we back Rohit Sharma to continue his good run of form and deliver another match winning performance.
Axar Patel has been a standout performer in the ODI series, making significant contributions with both bat and ball. He's amassed 77 runs, including at least one six in each innings, while also claiming at least one wicket per match.
Rohit Sharma (c), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul (wk), Shivam Dube/ Riyan Parag, Washington Sundar, Axar Patel, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj, Arshdeep Singh
Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Rishabh Pant, Shreyas Iyer, Shivam Dube, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj, Washington Sundar, Riyan Parag, Axar Patel
The pitch at the R.Premadasa Stadium will be slow and will continue to offer loads of spin and bounce. The best time to bat here is in the first 10 overs when the ball is new and the pitch is a little hard. As the ball gets older, the pitch becomes tougher to bat on. It will spin viciously and grip the surface, especially in the second innings. Batters will need to show solid defense and plenty of application to survive the tough conditions and make runs.
The weather in Colombo during the day of the match will be mostly cloudy, with chances of a thunderstorm in spots. The game might be disrupted for a while, but we should still have a full match.
Pitch Condition
Batting Conditions
Pace Bowling
Spin Bowling
The average score batting first at the R.Premadasa Stadium is just 225. In this series, the team batting first has scored 230-8 and 240-9. Expect another low-scoring encounter here and the team batting first will be looking to set a score of around 240-250 runs.
The team batting first won both games in this series at the R.Premadasa Stadium and won the match. This is the way to go on this pitch and both captains will be looking to bat first in the final match.
Sri Lanka have a chance of scripting a historical series win over India. They have been the better side overall so far, both in of batting and bowling. They might not have the firepower, but their batters have stuck around and done the job. Their bowlers have exploited these conditions perfectly and have made life hell for India’s batters.
For the star-studded Indian team, this will be an opportunity to challenge themselves. India’s bowling has been decent, although they have let go of the advantage in both ODIs. Their batters will need to show a lot more grit and play according to the situation. The odds are stacked against India this time, given how they have played. However, they are still a quality side, and we reckon they will learn from their mistakes and make a comeback in the final game. This should be another tight contest, but India is likely to prevail.
We are backing India to win this match and level the series 1-1.
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